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Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato: The Mitsubishi UFJ incident is under investigation. Note: Previously, Japan's Financial Services Agency will order Mitsubishi UFJ Bank to prepare a report on a series of safe theft by a former employee.The dollar rose to 152.91 yen against the yen, the highest since November 27.Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.

CITIC Jiantou: With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. According to CITIC Jiantou Research Report, since September, heavy meetings have continuously released a clear policy signal to strive to achieve the goals and tasks of economic and social development throughout the year, and policies such as lowering the standard, reducing interest rates, lowering the mortgage interest rate, supporting local governments to resolve government affairs risks, issuing special government bonds to supplement core Tier 1 capital, using various tools to promote the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize, and increasing support and guarantee for key groups have been released one after another. Focusing on boosting consumption and expanding effective domestic demand, the food and beverage industry is expected to usher in an inflection point, and its performance and valuation are expected to continue to improve. The liquor sector is expected to rebound with the boost of the domestic economy and the activation of household consumption, and the business scene and mass consumption boom will return to the consumption upgrading channel, and the profitability of leading liquor companies is expected to accelerate the repair. At present, the overall valuation of the liquor sector is still at a low level, and the long-term investment value is prominent. With the increase of policy stimulus, the pro-cyclical catering chain is expected to take the lead in benefiting from the expected improvement. Continue to be optimistic: 1) The leisure snacks and beverage industries maintain a high degree of prosperity, and new channels bring important incremental opportunities to companies in the industry; 2) Combined with the catering channels that are recovering continuously, it is suggested to pay attention to condiments, beer and catering chain labels with innovative products or reform expectations. At the same time, the current market price of molasses has further dropped from the previous month, which is of great help to yeast enterprises to improve their profit elasticity. 3) The inflection point of the raw milk cycle is approaching, the gift scene is expected to be repaired, and the dairy products continue to upgrade their structure, with high dividends and outstanding cost performance.CITIC Jiantou: The domestic cross-border e-commerce industrial chain has been gradually improved. CITIC Jiantou said that from 2010 to 2014, China's cross-border e-commerce entered a stage of rapid development. With the rise of mobile Internet infrastructure and the penetration rate of overseas cross-border e-commerce giants in the Mainland, the supporting facilities of the industrial chain have been gradually improved, subdivided and specialized, relevant policies have continued to exert their strength, and the customs supervision model has gradually become clear; Cross-border e-commerce industry chain is long, and there are relatively many hidden risk points because it involves cross-border. The cost structure of each link is mainly different due to the differences in participation roles, platform models, product types, warehousing and logistics structures, etc. Overall, the current cost structure is relatively stable, but there is also a large room for optimization. The degree of specialization and refinement of service providers will be improved, and the overall control, collaboration and empowerment of the industry chain and the refined arrangement led by big data and industry cognition will become one of the core competitiveness.The American medical insurance giant said that the suspect who assassinated its CEO was not a company customer. A spokesman for UnitedHealth Group said that Luigi Mangione, the suspect accused of killing Brian Thompson, CEO of the company's United Health Care, was not a member of the company's insurance plan. Unitedhealth group said that Man Ghione and his mother were not members of United Health Insurance Company, and refuted the claim that the shooting incident was caused by dissatisfaction caused by his special experience in the company.

The Australian stock market fell for the fourth consecutive trading day, led by mining stocks. The Australian stock market fell with the US stock market on Friday, with mining stocks falling the most. The day before, the unemployment rate in Australia fell sharply in November, prompting investors to reduce their bets on interest rate cuts in February. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index fell 0.7% to 8276.5, the fourth consecutive trading day. The benchmark fell by about 1.6% this week, the biggest weekly decline since early August.Compared with the beginning of the personal pension system, the number of participating insurance companies has increased nearly four times, and insurance companies have become an important supplier of personal pension products. The comprehensive opening of the personal pension system will undoubtedly create a historical opportunity for the insurance industry to participate more deeply in the construction of the third pillar. (SSE)Ministry of National Defense: There is no need for the Japanese side to be frightened. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released news about the recent military-related issues. Reporter: Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao recently delivered a policy address, saying that the current international order is facing major challenges. Chinese aircraft carriers sail in the waters close to Japan's territorial waters, and carrier-based aircraft have conducted thousands of take-off and landing trainings in the Pacific Ocean; Based on the national security strategy, Japan will greatly strengthen its defense forces. What is China's comment on this? Wu Qian: The so-called "China military threat" was hyped by the Japanese side only to cover up its usual trick of getting rid of the shackles of the peaceful constitution and returning to the old road of military expansion. As a matter of fact, the diplomatic and defense departments of China and Japan have been maintaining communication on air and sea security issues. There is absolutely no need for the Japanese side to be jittery and nervous. The publication of these data just proves that the Japanese side has been tracking, monitoring and interfering with Chinese ships and aircraft at close range for a long time, endangering the safety of Chinese ships and aircraft and easily causing sea and air safety problems. In recent years, despite the opposition of the international community, Japan has gone further and further on the road of military expansion, which has aroused strong concern among neighboring countries and the international community. We urge Japan to draw lessons from history, be cautious in the field of military security and do more things that are conducive to maintaining regional peace and stability. China is willing to continue to maintain communication with Japan on properly handling air and sea emergencies, and hopes that Japan will move in the same direction with China, take the overall situation into consideration, take the right path, and jointly safeguard the stability of the air and sea situation and the overall situation of Sino-Japanese relations.